F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c4e16e156bb983788efce4b26541f5e793830b438fcfe68c6a1370d5a59ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 54c | 925.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 46c | 847.53$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked No | 53c | 282.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 59c | 77.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Yes | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…ce51backed No | 53c | 65.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…53bebacked Yes | 59c | 64.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…cc79backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fd…c6bbbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 47.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…26edbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…fd20backed No | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…0eefbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 73c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Yes | 58c | 20.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…a5c3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.