TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x246c…cc79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.05
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.46
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$32.67
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.34
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+140.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$57.19
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+89%+$24.04
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88%+$24.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.