TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c7,726$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.494,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes45c6,740$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes49c5,110$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes49c4,771$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes15c4,559$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7491435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c4,201$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.696,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c3,683$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.81,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601f…242bbacked Yes46c3,203$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No51c2,954$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.835100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+199.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c2,713$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.3618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c2,607$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.521,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c1,947$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.831,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6155…808ebacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes40c999.99$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Yes45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes53c940$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed No51c856.57$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No52c684$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Yes50c520.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.13250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No52c483.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c459.3$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4277342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes49c435.26$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2859847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c430.13$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.461,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a3…7e5cbacked Yes49c409.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No52c390.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.844341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes25c370$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.34422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c366$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.341,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c366$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.341,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c352.57$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.581053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked No52c342$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No51c304$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.967635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked No52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes19c299.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c291.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8324544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c235.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No51c216.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1613348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed No51c212.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.72035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes48c199.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+55.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c172.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.762,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.63171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No70c153.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.669358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No52c149.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No70c148.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.339660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No52c148.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9358…2bd9backed Yes45c119.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c105.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes49c105.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32c6…b25bbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes49c104.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed No54c100.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.127032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9921648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes24c99.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes21c98.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.562040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes47c85.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No69c84.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2228456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes50c80.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.531540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Yes51c78.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes50c78.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yes38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c74.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.081,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7948…336fbacked Yes49c72.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe577…6d01backed No56c69.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…50a2backed No52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes48c63.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.886544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed No52c61.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54c8…46eebacked Yes45c59.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c58.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4759332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes39c56.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9211527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes50c50.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No51c44.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes49c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No64c38.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.092454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c33.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0718651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No51c32.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes44c28.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.