F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947b87e55b5e49c440b573119da6dbfea274afb507f5ce67e1d6a7bd5a24f13d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 74c | 2,190$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 26c | 860.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 825.82$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 806.56$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 72c | 671.51$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 73c | 550.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 71c | 445.73$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…7d56backed Yes | 28c | 419.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 26c | 386.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 361.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 71c | 353.54$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 73c | 315.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 28c | 214.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 17c | 179.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 28c | 178.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…12b9backed Yes | 12c | 167.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 79c | 154.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 149.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 20c | 127.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…af4bbacked Yes | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5860…8b52backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…0332backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…4f29backed Yes | 27c | 91.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…730cbacked Yes | 28c | 90.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…deefbacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 79.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…0335backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…11b6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 30c | 71.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…9310backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…561ebacked Yes | 27c | 68.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…ca26backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 50.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…a269backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…6bb7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 40.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 67c | 38.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 68c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…198cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed No | 75c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 22.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 77c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…6472backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.