Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e61ab946be7c63e1c37be761bb0c2e4353c0a01c52ae68403a42d0a15bdb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 32c | 1,048$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.08 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 1,001$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 49c | 602.13$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 233.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 227.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 221.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 204.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 204.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 204.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 12c | 194.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 181.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 36c | 180.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed No | 64c | 164$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 36c | 142.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 35c | 142.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 66c | 136.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Yes | 35c | 124.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 118.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 112.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 39c | 111.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 111.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…cad1backed No | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 37c | 103.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 77c | 87.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 87.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 79.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae7…2b0dbacked Yes | 44c | 79.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 72c | 78.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 58c | 69.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 51c | 68.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 62c | 61.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 63c | 59.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 58.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 62c | 55.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 48.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 48.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked Yes | 22c | 48.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 34c | 47.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…ac60backed Yes | 34c | 43.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 37c | 40.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 51c | 40.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…16e4backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 63c | 39.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 48c | 35.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 38c | 34.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 71c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 53c | 33.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 32.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 32.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked No | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 60c | 29.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 62c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 64c | 28.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed No | 58c | 27.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 66c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 71c | 23.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 75c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…a191backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 58c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 71c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…34c4backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 292 | 81.5%238 W · 54 L | +27.9wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.