Premier League · resolved market
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4ea538b0d6b6c1e8e445ff68c1022e03a0ad7a8f8d23b957f9577e27f931ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 2c | 10,153$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 7,486$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 1c | 1,726$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 1,382$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.44 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 1,184$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.28 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 8c | 1,085$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,006$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 872.79$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.49 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 65c | 759.99$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 623.39$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.28 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 58c | 519.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 58c | 455.43$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 404.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 42c | 379$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 59c | 341.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 4c | 323.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 65c | 305.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 66c | 304.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 10c | 287.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 41c | 266.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 230.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 35c | 181.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 12c | 172.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 35c | 165.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 60c | 138.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 40c | 123.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…35c3backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 43c | 107.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 13c | 94.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 59c | 89.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 65c | 60.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 41c | 52.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 32.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 67c | 30.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.