Premier League · resolved market
Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b2c853e62d64408c106dbad4e8727c6470bbef49048d042d3d458d2622cba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,025$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 731.33$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 76c | 691.68$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 29c | 620.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 29c | 456.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 366.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 339.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 295.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 71c | 290.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 22c | 233.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 193.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…3745backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 167.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 155.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 153.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 98.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 86.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 61.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 72c | 57.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 72c | 49.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.