Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc1b3612cdd176fd75f10923a1ca8391b4ad08a928ebc5bf1a6bd13e2582765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 4,643$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.93 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 21c | 3,214$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 22c | 2,783$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,430$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.38 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 78c | 1,136$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 938.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes | 4c | 897.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 896.27$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 19c | 782.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 18c | 574.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes | 4c | 560.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 538.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 78c | 287.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 285.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…8326backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 79c | 232$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 25c | 198.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 190.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 160.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 126.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…a538backed Yes | 22c | 82.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 75.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 57.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 71c | 37.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.