Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9deb4097153e98b920a7f8f92988a1d04c5292b5cc6625717aeee18bcd1545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Trace Esports | 15c | 4,993$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.59 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Trace Esports | 10c | 3,720$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Trace Esports | 46c | 3,524$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.66 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 1,051$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Trace Esports | 6c | 1,009$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Trace Esports | 41c | 797.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports | 43c | 687.34$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.15 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 584.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Trace Esports | 12c | 548$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 477.43$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 431.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 22c | 285.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed Trace Esports | 11c | 284.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 27c | 284$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Trace Esports | 12c | 239.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed Trace Esports | 29c | 231$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 177.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Trace Esports | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Trace Esports | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Trace Esports | 24c | 128.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Trace Esports | 48c | 121.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 120.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 107.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 106.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 104.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Trace Esports | 15c | 99.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…29f8backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Trace Esports | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…8c1dbacked Trace Esports | 13c | 89.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Trace Esports | 32c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 70.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 62.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2d…c880backed Trace Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Trace Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Trace Esports | 23c | 48.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Trace Esports | 53c | 48.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Trace Esports | 24c | 45.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 42.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Trace Esports | 43c | 36.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 36.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Trace Esports | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Trace Esports | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Trace Esports | 45c | 27.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Trace Esports | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…6dc2backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Trace Esports | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 24.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Trace Esports | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.