Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea2f43be6bc4d87b234755f2f6cfad6ceb67238143ec0f8db68620794add4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 996.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Trace Esports | 65c | 781.74$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 697.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 692.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.73 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Bilibili Gaming | 14c | 671.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 8c | 671$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 666.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed Trace Esports | 67c | 510.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 465.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…92b3backed Trace Esports | 63c | 399.89$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 17c | 385.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 351$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 14c | 333.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Trace Esports | 51c | 245$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 239.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 230.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Trace Esports | 71c | 227.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 220.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Trace Esports | 42c | 216$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Trace Esports | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Trace Esports | 73c | 177.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Trace Esports | 80c | 147.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Trace Esports | 68c | 142.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bilibili Gaming | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trace Esports | 42c | 126.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Bilibili Gaming | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 80.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 77.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 77.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 71.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 67.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed Trace Esports | 65c | 57.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 79c | 57.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 54c | 38.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked Trace Esports | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Trace Esports | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Trace Esports | 59c | 20.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…04d9backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.