Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0d66f7a410095ed110b13531d45af9253297f82ff16b97303fcf46558d7dea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 11,708$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 7,304$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.7 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 2,834$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.62 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 26c | 2,546$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.13 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 37c | 1,324$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 1,296$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.54 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 1,064$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.06 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 26c | 1,018$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Yes | 41c | 661.1$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 649.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 4c | 437$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 396.26$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 359.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 76c | 240.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 60c | 236.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 188$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 18c | 172$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 141.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 128.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Yes | 77c | 128.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 25c | 118.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 24c | 99.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 68c | 95.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 84.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 40c | 71.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 25c | 60.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 20c | 59.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 34c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 60c | 44.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 71c | 44.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 40c | 41.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 80c | 40.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 40c | 37.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Yes | 73c | 35.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 30.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 29.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 77c | 27.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 26.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…4c59backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Yes | 80c | 18.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 65c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 71c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 66c | 15.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…36e6backed Yes | 79c | 13.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.