La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f313daafaf3abc3a7c6d58575a864fc8f4ceba44fb645a264fb195642e79e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 9,698$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.71 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,345$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.62 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,113$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.73 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed No | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 30c | 970.38$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 793.28$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.03 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 34c | 622.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 621.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 26c | 578.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 536.89$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.29 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…9522backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 74c | 400.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 397.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…5e89backed Yes | 40c | 390.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 380$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 30c | 341.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 74c | 331$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 260.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 35c | 254$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 248.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 39c | 232.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 215.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…96debacked Yes | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 198.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…a39cbacked Yes | 26c | 196.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 28c | 177.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 133.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 128.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…5fb3backed No | 71c | 123.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 28c | 123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 28c | 105.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 98.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 70c | 95.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 26c | 82.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 27c | 63.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 72c | 58.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 54.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…86c9backed Yes | 26c | 49.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Yes | 27c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 44.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 74c | 37.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 28c | 36.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 34.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 74c | 29.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 74c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 44c | 23.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 74c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 74c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.