La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bad526696b54397a5de1d553bd769aac1b626e6ad4692c5575347298f4ced93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,566$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.7 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,073$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.05 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 3,570$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.82 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 3,284$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.17 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,562$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 44c | 1,002$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.52 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 30c | 794$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.17 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 45c | 441.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.68 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 415.65$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 380.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed No | 24c | 375.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 295.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Yes | 44c | 294.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 37c | 266$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Yes | 45c | 233.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 225.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 70c | 217.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 213.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…5e89backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 45c | 187$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 74c | 179.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 60c | 167.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 155.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 44c | 146.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 10c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 74c | 132.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 55c | 126.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…7f67backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 101.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 23c | 90.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 85.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 23c | 80.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 80.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 69.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…321dbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 47c | 64.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Yes | 48c | 62.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 59.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 45c | 51.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 50.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 40c | 49.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 28c | 42.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 39c | 41.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 27c | 40.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…5a41backed Yes | 46c | 36.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 33c | 36.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 44c | 32.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 79c | 32.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 69c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 45c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 45c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 65c | 22.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.