La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f50f1a21ce796ed67e49c5acfd189a48ba2372739a051ea2389d0200fb91cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 72c | 5,119$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.32 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 28c | 4,444$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,168$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 2,732$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,234$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.17 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 1,477$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 931.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 850$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 615$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 484.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 39c | 394.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 182.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…c8f7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 10c | 147.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed No | 73c | 136.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 39c | 129.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 79c | 121.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Yes | 23c | 85.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 27c | 62.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 52.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 50.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 47.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 37.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 71c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.