La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d6fc243b08248e4b15ab1fd8cdd9841e9193d3e49b9e4a953bfb0488365967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 27c | 1,219$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 1,025$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 691.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 71c | 545.95$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 27c | 478.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 473.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 27c | 461.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 27c | 397.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 72c | 318.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 304.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 73c | 189.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 165.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed Yes | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 73c | 139.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 73c | 134.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 73c | 133.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 29c | 129.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…0247backed No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 73c | 88.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 27c | 68.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 70c | 50.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 73c | 47.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 74c | 44.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 38.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 73c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 73c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 73c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.