La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e8ab29808a267a2586dbdec529f7e2da9dd6075e41dbcee54b3f235b68b4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 12,068$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.17 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 3,034$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.8 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 67c | 2,340$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 698.17$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 633.51$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 607.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 601.56$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 18c | 384.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…c8f4backed Yes | 34c | 302.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 56c | 260.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 15c | 241.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…9ec4backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Yes | 15c | 169.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 68c | 162.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 17c | 146.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 34c | 144.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 19c | 123.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…2ee1backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…d6dabacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…9822backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 34c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 33c | 41.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…b81fbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 33c | 32.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 66c | 27.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…be2abacked No | 68c | 24.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.