La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc77912480a49835beb161dca64662131c5f1e384bc93e72e5fa8a4d4095f84a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 26c | 1,362$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 71c | 996.4$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 853.59$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.94 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 29c | 708.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.97 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 610.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 487$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 402.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 73c | 391.19$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 29c | 345.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 28c | 339.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 321.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 320$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 307.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 31c | 186$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 72c | 161$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 144.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 138.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…f51abacked Yes | 73c | 137.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 69c | 114$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 108$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 103.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 100.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…844cbacked Yes | 29c | 89.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 86.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 73c | 61.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 68c | 50.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 27c | 38.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 71c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…248fbacked No | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 70c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.