La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf795abde7ec62d4998f661f1b200c14e96ce6f7f002922b29221b4ef9ed87398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 3,246$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.07 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.41 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 53c | 2,455$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 39c | 1,499$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 56c | 1,430$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 1,300$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,165$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 964$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 12c | 838.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 18c | 790$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 617$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 613.64$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 23c | 550.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 497.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 39c | 465.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 414.73$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 28c | 388.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 55c | 362.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 344.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 58c | 289.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 15c | 286.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 278.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…4d3cbacked Yes | 47c | 250.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 47c | 229.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 213.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 31c | 203.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 40c | 156.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 55c | 125.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 121.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 112$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 86.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 57c | 80.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…45f9backed Yes | 44c | 78.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…db3dbacked Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…844cbacked Yes | 45c | 64.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2b82backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…79a0backed Yes | 45c | 56.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…04febacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ab…f9afbacked Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 25.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 54c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.