La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72b53785cb37281013b06585f049e5ea61570608223b9563f985a317dc15775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 4,876$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.87 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 3,999$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 2,652$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.54 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 31c | 1,763$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.31 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,548$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.51 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 37c | 1,419$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 1,279$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.21 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 1,167$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes | 60c | 898.17$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 770.45$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 693.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 52c | 517.54$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 44c | 500$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.97 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 399.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 340.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 48c | 293.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 15c | 257.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 47c | 256.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 249.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 53c | 212$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 74c | 209.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…8ad8backed Yes | 28c | 202.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…7c8fbacked Yes | 76c | 198.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 27c | 197.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 142$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 72c | 132$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 71c | 117.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…844cbacked Yes | 28c | 94.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 29c | 84.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 74c | 76.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 67.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes | 55c | 60.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2b82backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…8699backed Yes | 28c | 38.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 44c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…2297backed Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…3b80backed No | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.