TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Shelton, Sinner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x066e…ceb2backed Shelton3c46,395$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.1215436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…257cbacked Shelton16c44,370$6,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Shelton18c40,994$7,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,493.9713934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Shelton18c20,235$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Sinner80c15,695$12,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.052850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Shelton4c14,511$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4511859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Shelton2c11,073$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9522723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Shelton18c8,147$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.4937540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Shelton17c7,427$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.5913935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Shelton18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Shelton17c4,790$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.379137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Shelton16c4,722$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.614930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Shelton19c3,254$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.054831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Shelton9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Shelton17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Shelton20c2,920$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.0825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Shelton18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Shelton12c2,636$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.931421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7e…ba65backed Shelton8c2,617$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Shelton15c2,400$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.586126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Shelton20c1,959$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3930639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton17c1,875$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.51,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…d34cbacked Shelton14c1,772$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shelton18c1,769$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Shelton10c1,720$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Shelton20c1,500$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.251258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Shelton20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Shelton18c1,449$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25814243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Shelton21c1,433$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Shelton11c1,433$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Shelton18c1,400$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0744125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…8592backed Shelton16c1,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+188.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…c30abacked Shelton9c1,194$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Shelton26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shelton16c1,115$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Shelton17c1,097$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4717818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Shelton19c1,062$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Shelton18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Shelton6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Shelton18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Shelton17c969.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb0…acf5backed Shelton17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Shelton17c813.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Shelton19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Shelton15c788.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Shelton20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Shelton20c665.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0410036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shelton4c653.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.882,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Shelton14c599.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.892729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Shelton17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c8…158bbacked Shelton8c579.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Shelton7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…8d38backed Shelton19c566$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+168.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Shelton15c544.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.064351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22db…a189backed Shelton19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Shelton20c502$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Shelton20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Shelton19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Shelton6c473.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb318…451bbacked Shelton17c441.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Shelton6c406.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.062817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Shelton19c403.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.764751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…9de9backed Shelton18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Shelton15c376.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.46875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2b…2427backed Shelton19c360$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Shelton23c337.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1632448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Shelton17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5143042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Shelton5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Shelton17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512528%7 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Shelton20c296.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Shelton6c289.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Shelton7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Shelton19c277.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.325355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Shelton19c258.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Shelton20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked Shelton9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Shelton17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe267…5295backed Shelton19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Shelton19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2f…6aa9backed Shelton17c205.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Shelton17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Shelton17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Shelton17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Shelton13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.693751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087a…48c4backed Shelton16c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Shelton18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b29…5a9abacked Shelton13c190$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47b…9284backed Shelton19c190$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdc…d65cbacked Shelton19c190$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Shelton14c168.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.134951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Shelton17c167.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sinner78c158.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6518250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Shelton19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Shelton8c157.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133727%10 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451a…444bbacked Shelton23c141.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed Shelton11c130.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shelton20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Shelton18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Shelton18c108.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5760342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4838backed Shelton9c107$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.