Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d93ddae67b70b9fd0171e0fdbbbdf45729b14a1ed2ca6fa9d0eddff2c06c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 60c | 12,179$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 9,998$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.4 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 69c | 4,363$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 2,547$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.98 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 61c | 2,441$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 2,362$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 1,352$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.67 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 62c | 1,058$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 44c | 979.87$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 38c | 603.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 517.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…efdabacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Over | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 441.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 141.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 40c | 111.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 33c | 66.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…cab7backed Over | 43c | 46.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 46c | 35.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.