Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056e6a3b35b43dc3255cba943ba5210382afe409be1a3542c705a5af84c6cec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 77c | 6,510$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.68 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 5,470$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 67c | 4,137$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.37 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 68c | 1,294$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,068$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 25c | 977.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 31c | 673.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 5c | 490$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 33c | 336.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 33c | 299$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 294.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 66c | 261.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 34c | 196.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 34c | 119.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 79.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 33c | 39.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Over | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 31.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 67c | 25.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.