CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ShindeN (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2cb25e883da5e9f14782dfeb93abd17e98497c7c250051a2c0736d8768118c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof RED Canids, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c9…f597backed RED Canids | 2c | 1,561$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 40c | 1,101$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.31 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RED Canids | 2c | 806.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked RED Canids | 51c | 427.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…6d65backed ShindeN | 69c | 413.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed RED Canids | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed RED Canids | 50c | 398.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked RED Canids | 5c | 370.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ShindeN | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed RED Canids | 73c | 262.6$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed ShindeN | 58c | 253$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…b223backed RED Canids | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed ShindeN | 37c | 246$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed RED Canids | 50c | 242.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed ShindeN | 69c | 219.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ShindeN | 24c | 203$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked RED Canids | 51c | 194.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked RED Canids | 80c | 188.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed RED Canids | 68c | 180$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked RED Canids | 50c | 162.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed ShindeN | 61c | 162$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked RED Canids | 44c | 148$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 70c | 142.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed ShindeN | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ShindeN | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…cf43backed RED Canids | 79c | 116.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed ShindeN | 23c | 110.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked RED Canids | 72c | 110$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…ae8dbacked RED Canids | 62c | 96.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed ShindeN | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9109backed ShindeN | 68c | 88.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed RED Canids | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked ShindeN | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked ShindeN | 60c | 69.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ShindeN | 38c | 51.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ShindeN | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed RED Canids | 80c | 45.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…fa32backed ShindeN | 32c | 41.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked ShindeN | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked ShindeN | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed RED Canids | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…6330backed ShindeN | 61c | 27.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed RED Canids | 64c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 80c | 17.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.