Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f58436eb04b572aa41df42bf763ec255224b7fb49b5de29103b7f9f2b5053c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 2,658$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.18 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 69c | 1,909$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 783.13$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.38 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 628.24$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 6c | 575$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 240.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 31c | 219.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 30c | 183$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 32c | 181.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 11c | 176.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 173.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 73c | 114.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 32c | 97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 95.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 67c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 70c | 44.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 70c | 43.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.