Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a9dd11f8f4bf9b94919253c73751f765211612f735445d5081ba4fc6b21986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 21,857$9,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,518.67 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 14,043$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,939.59 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 4,733$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.19 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,221$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 49c | 2,961$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 880.96$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.61 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 421.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 408.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 381.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 43c | 369.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes | 62c | 353.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 327.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 46c | 267$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 40c | 196.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 44c | 140.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 128.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 79c | 125.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…f054backed Yes | 42c | 119.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…5d3abacked No | 58c | 119.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…ac03backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 42c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 42c | 64.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 41c | 62.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 66c | 54.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…9ec4backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 53c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed No | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.