Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae732b654d69c3d9634b0d5f8a6035153b2d0ff8c1a95717245807d4b4916fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,980$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,651$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 885.19$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 78c | 270.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 74c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 75.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526f…feb4backed Yes | 27c | 67.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 65.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 59.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 67c | 50.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 78c | 47.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 29.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.