Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1074f8a4552ee1f83c42287601d9c6b65c7688f4ea1370b1568b834d01d9fc44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 4,370$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.6 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 4,310$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 28c | 2,935$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.8 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,577$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 74c | 1,178$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.38 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 79c | 1,075$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 988.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 969.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 27c | 839.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 674.33$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 28c | 381.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 26c | 364.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 314.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 289.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 273.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 28c | 189.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 189.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 23c | 175$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 72c | 164$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 157.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 139.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 27c | 133$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 111.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Yes | 30c | 88.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes | 28c | 88.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 17c | 66.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 68c | 61.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…a491backed Yes | 32c | 61.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 58.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 27c | 56.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 27c | 55.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 51.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 48.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…bae0backed Yes | 29c | 40.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 79c | 39.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 28c | 38.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 30c | 33.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 73c | 31.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 72c | 23.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 71c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cabo Verde vs. Serbia end in a draw?this page
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.