Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55f6274576340aa4144fef3adcfe55ce330cece9490f7a20f81578a146741b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 5,180$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.87 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 1,706$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,464$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 57c | 972.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 65c | 925.27$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 708.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 35c | 610.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…69cabacked Yes | 19c | 510.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 505.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 505$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 33c | 440$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 428.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Yes | 72c | 399.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…6421backed Yes | 76c | 372.42$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 341.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…b696backed Yes | 65c | 329.86$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 327.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…db2cbacked Yes | 33c | 321$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 62c | 315.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 292.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 54c | 273.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 37c | 260$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Yes | 76c | 258.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 248$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 237.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 47c | 231.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 21c | 207.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 159.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Yes | 63c | 158.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 65c | 151.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 52c | 150.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 149.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 114.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 108.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 72c | 104.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Yes | 48c | 95.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 11c | 89.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 66.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…ca05backed Yes | 70c | 62.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 55c | 54.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 41.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 39.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Yes | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 30.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 26.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…1ebabacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…a074backed Yes | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…c01dbacked Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 55c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed No | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…a31ebacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Yes | 64c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked No | 76c | 13.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.