Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3761b9990a02c2f4d927800b898768b0fc55cbe6ae6da07fe1d91e7b0a273f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 15c | 8,030$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.94 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 17c | 5,109$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.52 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 4,201$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 4,195$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 3,198$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 1c | 1,617$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 1c | 1,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 1,110$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 18c | 940.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 12c | 917.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 682.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed No | 2c | 679.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 2c | 499.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 22c | 454.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 18c | 424.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 18c | 422.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 78c | 375.86$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 10c | 339.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 18c | 256.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 239.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 19c | 213.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 207.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 19c | 200.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 18c | 110.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed No | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 19c | 82.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 17c | 81.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 18c | 69.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 19c | 59.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 78c | 55.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…3688backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 77c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf435…a35abacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Switzerland vs. Jordan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.