La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9b963585ca908c9243c6c09d08039b37fb78891beb90a57352ca97b8603f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 20c | 60,187$12,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,037.37 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 19,238$15,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Yes | 21c | 16,667$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 7,378$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 21c | 6,311$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 4,913$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 4,692$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.53 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 4,598$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.52 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,900$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 1,632$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.62 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 1,457$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 948.36$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 80c | 922.69$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 717.12$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 20c | 539.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 39c | 507.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 80c | 487.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 427.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 416$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 19c | 348.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 21c | 315.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 276$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…a39cbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 224.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 206$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 191.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 36c | 182$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 79c | 180$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 179.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 126.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed No | 80c | 117.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 80c | 100.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 96.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…c88fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 21c | 81.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 80c | 60.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 57.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…cf5ebacked Yes | 22c | 54.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 76c | 50.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 45.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33a6backed No | 80c | 43.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 80c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 80c | 33.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 30.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 80c | 28.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 27.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…84ccbacked No | 80c | 26.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…36fabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 80c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 80c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked No | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…03b6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.