La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12a6e2aa5d320df6845f171386fee0645709473600bac5ba24073d10f437a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 18c | 90,307$16,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,495.65 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 80c | 8,170$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.09 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 18c | 4,230$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked No | 80c | 3,235$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 1,995$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 80c | 1,868$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,440$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 80c | 947.25$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked No | 80c | 784.68$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 664.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…89ccbacked Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…50cdbacked No | 80c | 550$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 485.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 15c | 440.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 387.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 15c | 340$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 276$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…b77abacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…a21cbacked Yes | 5c | 244.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 18c | 210.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 80c | 197.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 144$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 12c | 116.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…e095backed Yes | 10c | 114.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…3156backed Yes | 10c | 105.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 97.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 18c | 93.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 202 | 52.5%106 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 18c | 80.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 80c | 75.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed Yes | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 80c | 42.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 80c | 36.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed No | 80c | 18.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.