Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30e6568cf1c5577b4f6dd003b1f691a3a18599938ce0f2b99900ce9d73dea85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 1,446$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 79c | 668.41$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.37 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 22c | 635.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 11c | 303.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…0145backed Over | 77c | 296.05$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 283$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 79c | 251.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 66c | 231.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 70c | 192.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 181.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 80c | 117.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 44c | 83.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 66c | 78.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 22c | 73.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Under | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…f94bbacked Under | 74c | 63.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 33c | 60.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 60c | 50.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 79c | 28.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 59c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33a6backed Under | 80c | 24.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.