La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4301a01b7d3f3636904362be302fa99932c95e42316df46c5632539daabe8c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under | 40c | 9,909$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.54 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 2,839$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.24 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 2,433$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 60c | 1,948$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.06 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 60c | 1,948$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.06 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 60c | 551.27$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 60c | 472.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 60c | 458.33$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 39c | 439.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 72c | 327.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 267.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 259.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 219.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 60c | 212.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 60c | 168.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 63c | 158.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 60c | 150.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 150.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 60c | 109.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 95.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 41c | 90.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 84.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 73.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 60c | 61.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 60c | 59.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 56.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 63c | 39.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 61c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 28.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 24.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.