La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46ec22df0745e602023c1b5f2b0e961966f30ab1f39c9de0d25bda8aa1f7ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 1,205$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.2 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 810.03$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 58c | 740.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 76c | 646.59$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 519.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 40c | 299.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 264.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 19c | 262.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 41c | 197.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 181.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 57c | 139.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…a39cbacked No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 22c | 56.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 42c | 46.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 63c | 30.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 43c | 24.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 55c | 23.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.