La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51ec94d1e56f8ae723a16476afe3c6496ecc4b75f0caf239e1b2f4da42114cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,001$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 52c | 4,549$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 61c | 868.85$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…a1d5backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 156.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 39c | 63.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 41.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 41.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 30.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 37c | 27.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 61c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 62c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.