La Liga · resolved market
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a944deab3a338ca294c3766863a38572491d51f5b7373351eece856e09b33c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Castellónof SD Eibar, CD Castellón
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SD Eibar | 1c | 1,478$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SD Eibar | 4c | 1,199$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…4812backed SD Eibar | 6c | 1,080$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…acc3backed SD Eibar | 6c | 1,075$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…04d6backed SD Eibar | 6c | 1,075$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…c94ebacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,060$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…c8debacked SD Eibar | 7c | 1,045$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…d77bbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,038$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…e75abacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…463fbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,030$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…6e8ebacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,025$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…988dbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,025$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…122cbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…198cbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 1,010$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…6706backed SD Eibar | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…c70dbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ce6fbacked SD Eibar | 6c | 930$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7266backed SD Eibar | 6c | 920$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…9f08backed SD Eibar | 6c | 870$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…695ebacked SD Eibar | 6c | 870$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1857backed SD Eibar | 6c | 813.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…e783backed SD Eibar | 6c | 793$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…2c66backed SD Eibar | 6c | 779.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…6461backed SD Eibar | 6c | 771.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed SD Eibar | 7c | 737.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…97f2backed SD Eibar | 6c | 724$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)this page
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.