Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8680b0f1a3d7ca95aae0c7e4d148ff4c3b34a11c3b6b485a99f4a652a40c28f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alliance Guardiansof Dynamo Esports, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a9…9f56backed Dynamo Esports | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance Guardians | 79c | 1,046$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Dynamo Esports | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Dynamo Esports | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dynamo Esports | 12c | 683$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance Guardians | 77c | 436.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Dynamo Esports | 50c | 242.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Dynamo Esports | 46c | 238.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance Guardians | 72c | 227.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Alliance Guardians | 47c | 207.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Alliance Guardians | 49c | 172.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Alliance Guardians | 50c | 168.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance Guardians | 80c | 152.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Alliance Guardians | 49c | 147.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Dynamo Esports | 15c | 144.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Dynamo Esports | 52c | 115.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Dynamo Esports | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Dynamo Esports | 39c | 80.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 69.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Dynamo Esports | 53c | 68.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 68.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Dynamo Esports | 52c | 55.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance Guardians | 53c | 50.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Dynamo Esports | 51c | 49.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance Guardians | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Dynamo Esports | 48c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alliance Guardians | 73c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageAlliance Guardians won
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 WinnerAlliance Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.