Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf896ef07d005df713dcc87154c166df49ba2ee7e0d6a7eb48fc19300d49d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alliance Guardiansof Dynamo Esports, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Dynamo Esports | 63c | 13,280$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.28 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alliance Guardians | 37c | 12,440$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844.4 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dynamo Esports | 5c | 3,683$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alliance Guardians | 66c | 3,124$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.84 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dynamo Esports | 50c | 2,627$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.39 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Dynamo Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Dynamo Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dynamo Esports | 9c | 2,079$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dynamo Esports | 5c | 1,984$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dynamo Esports | 8c | 1,710$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Dynamo Esports | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dynamo Esports | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Alliance Guardians | 49c | 1,361$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Dynamo Esports | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Dynamo Esports | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 529.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Dynamo Esports | 12c | 461.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Dynamo Esports | 10c | 442$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Alliance Guardians | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dynamo Esports | 52c | 411.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Dynamo Esports | 51c | 397.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Dynamo Esports | 54c | 367.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Dynamo Esports | 5c | 327.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dynamo Esports | 14c | 304$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Dynamo Esports | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Alliance Guardians | 40c | 297.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dynamo Esports | 31c | 296.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Dynamo Esports | 5c | 280.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Dynamo Esports | 73c | 255$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance Guardians | 37c | 244.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Dynamo Esports | 63c | 235.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dynamo Esports | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Alliance Guardians | 55c | 225.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Dynamo Esports | 55c | 222$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Dynamo Esports | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed Dynamo Esports | 51c | 197.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Alliance Guardians | 45c | 187$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Alliance Guardians | 47c | 159.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Alliance Guardians | 43c | 157.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Alliance Guardians | 34c | 157.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dynamo Esports | 36c | 152.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed Alliance Guardians | 51c | 136.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Alliance Guardians | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Alliance Guardians | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Alliance Guardians | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Alliance Guardians | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance Guardians | 54c | 88.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Dynamo Esports | 61c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Alliance Guardians | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dynamo Esports | 21c | 59.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance Guardians | 41c | 48.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Dynamo Esports | 48c | 43.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 42.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Dynamo Esports | 53c | 39.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 39.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Dynamo Esports | 53c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Alliance Guardians | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…36c7backed Alliance Guardians | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dynamo Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Alliance Guardians | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alliance Guardians | 49c | 26.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageAlliance Guardians won
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 WinnerAlliance Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.