Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626ba8b844c6f2a9bbad746878e75001b8a0d21b254fbdf14205add6c5c60606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof Evil Geniuses Academy, ROSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked ROSE | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked ROSE | 12c | 7,769$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.25 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked ROSE | 13c | 1,985$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed ROSE | 13c | 1,278$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed ROSE | 20c | 1,040$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSE | 6c | 852.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed ROSE | 13c | 536.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ROSE | 18c | 514.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed ROSE | 8c | 509.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ROSE | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed ROSE | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ROSE | 14c | 429.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d922backed ROSE | 15c | 353.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ROSE | 13c | 325$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ROSE | 9c | 278.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed ROSE | 13c | 237.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ROSE | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed ROSE | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ROSE | 13c | 150.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 79c | 148.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked ROSE | 10c | 144.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ROSE | 14c | 136.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed ROSE | 9c | 122.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed ROSE | 17c | 103.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed ROSE | 14c | 103.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ROSE | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 78c | 75.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 79c | 29.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.