WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3d26614e4aec04f921d4134ce1365353927030566bc340d30b6c45cc5dda90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 8,344$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.08 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 5,745$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 5,659$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 5,389$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.28 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 4,827$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.73 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 3,605$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.31 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 3,093$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.49 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,999$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.69 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 2,936$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,404$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.7 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,314$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.76 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.9 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.64 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,484$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.96 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.89 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 791.13$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 716.33$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.35 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 570.77$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 526$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 505.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 502.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 480.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 393$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 63c | 363.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 321.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Seattle Storm | 25c | 272.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Dallas Wings | 61c | 241.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 227.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Dallas Wings | 59c | 215.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 205.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 175.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 171.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 165.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 148.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 95.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 71.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…c3e9backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 53.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 44.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 32.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Dallas Wings | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.