WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd66d6b852af48f52a998656884cede9b663fd047bb75d47959f79a66f55b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,281$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,220$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 1,009$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 944.23$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 912.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 899$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 882.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.86 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 704.07$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 622$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 620$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 74c | 605.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 36c | 535.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 488.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 474.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 386.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 28c | 269.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 134.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 99.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 88.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 56.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 48.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Dallas Wings | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Dallas Wings | 63c | 35.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…32d1backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 27.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 24.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Dallas Wings | 57c | 21.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.