WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x324b079b6422df57f54d59b8c4370d5f8e3345f0a6748477ac2518ed2cadb61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 7,023$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.76 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.48 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,746$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.76 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 51c | 3,541$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.68 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 3,363$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.4 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 845.83$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 784.31$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 724.56$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 659.67$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.08 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 50c | 618$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 286.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Over | 43c | 192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 48c | 92.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 63.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 47c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.