TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof Seattle Storm, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f05…8937backed Seattle Storm15c17,500$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a9…e073backed Seattle Storm17c11,700$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Storm0c10,350$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm16c8,791$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.0910338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Seattle Storm16c5,806$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.484829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Storm15c5,595$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.586851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4824…0be2backed Seattle Storm12c5,007$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm15c4,204$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.6440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Seattle Storm16c3,650$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58423931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm1c3,312$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.74908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Seattle Storm14c3,156$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.814766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Seattle Storm15c3,021$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1710151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Seattle Storm16c1,727$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.313941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Seattle Storm2c1,560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Seattle Storm21c1,448$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Seattle Storm5c1,300$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…0f14backed Seattle Storm18c1,300$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm8c1,187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2422748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Seattle Storm15c1,111$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Seattle Storm15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Seattle Storm15c1,088$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0a…629dbacked Seattle Storm14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Seattle Storm17c999.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.845942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Seattle Storm16c885.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.768733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Seattle Storm17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508550.6%43 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Seattle Storm15c827$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Seattle Storm14c690.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9913422.4%30 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Storm15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Seattle Storm16c644.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.017240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Storm16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Seattle Storm16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings79c611.83$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Storm8c590.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.95250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Storm8c573.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc668…0a90backed Seattle Storm16c516.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.612347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Seattle Storm15c504.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.732817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Seattle Storm12c426.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Seattle Storm8c337.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272015%3 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…fa9bbacked Seattle Storm15c334$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dallas Wings79c276$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9631043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Dallas Wings73c269.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8511250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8e…6fb9backed Seattle Storm9c265.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.022321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Seattle Storm26c239.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.779146.2%42 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Seattle Storm16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+93.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ee…fef1backed Seattle Storm16c210.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Seattle Storm5c210.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4121440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Seattle Storm13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Seattle Storm16c163$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+110.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Seattle Storm16c151.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.816127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Seattle Storm16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c58…79f7backed Seattle Storm15c147.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.492466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Storm12c130.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.713844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Storm12c125.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6411841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…543dbacked Seattle Storm16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc131…1a8abacked Seattle Storm16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Storm18c108.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.525044%22 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Storm15c100.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8613147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Storm16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.339651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Storm16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…28f7backed Seattle Storm15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Seattle Storm16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Seattle Storm11c96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Seattle Storm16c95.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.299044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Seattle Storm17c93.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Storm19c88.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.864652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Seattle Storm15c75.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.575444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1765…e565backed Seattle Storm18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31c…f8c5backed Seattle Storm17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Seattle Storm16c63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Seattle Storm16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1655…08e1backed Seattle Storm16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Dallas Wings80c37.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings80c29.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8729654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x421a…2df4backed Dallas Wings50c25.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4179…735ebacked Seattle Storm50c25.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Dallas Wings79c24.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1913256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d96…a1bfbacked Dallas Wings50c23.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…4ad4backed Seattle Storm50c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd143…44b9backed Dallas Wings50c22.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec88…8c12backed Seattle Storm50c22.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings77c15.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.561547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Dallas Wings74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93171%22 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.