WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8626a7590ffd0277e0300e8c0ab4ae1b5d6d27f6aa437bb00eb0e7e0bdc17213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 51c | 65,003$32,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,953.79 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 38,730$18,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,752.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…8786backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 9,749$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,589$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.65 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 3,101$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.57 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 3,044$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…2509backed Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over | 48c | 714.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…37bcbacked Over | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…c362backed Over | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…3c11backed Over | 48c | 637.5$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…d3eebacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…1c73backed Over | 48c | 429.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…eaa6backed Over | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…79d5backed Over | 48c | 411.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 301.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 51c | 250.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…fb30backed Over | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaf…643fbacked Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Over | 46c | 163.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Under | 54c | 56.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Under | 54c | 54.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked Under | 54c | 52.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Under | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 52c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 49c | 33.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 51c | 28.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 19.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.