WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f0377b206c4200ae1aa6655037ed5a59016baea4fac5bc2f878f3358c99499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 4,898$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 4,059$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 75c | 2,830$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.36 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 2,213$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.45 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 64c | 1,986$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.51 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 1,220$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.17 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 20c | 1,206$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 529.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 393.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 371.66$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 347.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 151$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 123.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Seattle Storm | 23c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm | 15c | 108.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Dallas Wings | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 92.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 85.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 73.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 23c | 67.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Dallas Wings | 69c | 62.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Dallas Wings | 59c | 51.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…44cbbacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 43.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 37.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Dallas Wings | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 32.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dallas Wings | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.