WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248f95fac616876b82d4d82e10d5414d00c3022d737665ccc488c953e4645c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 1,554$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.54 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,081$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.26 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 572$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Under | 59c | 167.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 60c | 166.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Over | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 48c | 73.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 68.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…e48abacked Over | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over | 41c | 57.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Over | 41c | 55.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 41c | 55.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…76dfbacked Over | 44c | 45.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 38c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 44c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.