TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over27c6,064$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under58c5,857$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.131,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed Under73c5,343$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.127256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Over42c4,141$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.826434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under59c2,726$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8944451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Over40c2,068$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.3431953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over42c1,968$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.672,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over42c1,500$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9641343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over41c1,096$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.3514732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over42c948.39$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.466858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37830160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over42c620$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.412850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25221150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over43c419.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over33c400$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.522,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Under59c364.16$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1639266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked Under72c360.42$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4230057.7%173 W · 127 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under58c358$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3622452.7%118 W · 106 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over36c350.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1415748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over42c343.78$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3943442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Under55c312.26$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5266059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under71c262$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.046051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Over45c255.56$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Under59c254.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Over29c213.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3232755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over47c210.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c10…1a8bbacked Under73c201.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4447064.3%302 W · 168 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829851%50 W · 48 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4789…8361backed Under59c198.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Under56c189.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8442751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over41c184$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.441,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x475b…caf2backed Under58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c174$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5625342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under60c156.45$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.581,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6379745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over41c149.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.53537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over26c149.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.934834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked Over45c142.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9f…894fbacked Under73c130.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.776564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under59c123.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7222336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over42c117.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3124650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over41c109.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.091,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1463458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Over31c101.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.032445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef0…252cbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216226.5%43 W · 119 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4258437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under57c97.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over44c90.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.897054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under56c86.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2111762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe728…9592backed Under58c85.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.764057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.774637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under76c84.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2332555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7584360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Under56c83.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9318863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c82.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.451,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c80.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.262,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f4…567dbacked Under57c74.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024945.8%114 W · 135 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Under59c67.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5632050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbce…4689backed Over16c67.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Over42c66.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7424359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17f…92d8backed Under63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over42c54.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…f625backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5738953.2%207 W · 182 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7da…8dc2backed Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2079345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over43c48.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218339.8%33 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…49e8backed Over46c43.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under59c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8161256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…d4cdbacked Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed1c…2e25backed Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over43c39.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over38c36.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d4…2059backed Over42c35.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cb…8896backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2528759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b3…3ffebacked Over42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64847.9%23 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+76.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked Under58c29.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.319057.8%52 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Under60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6718951.3%97 W · 92 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under73c26.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1557349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.424951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…dc7fbacked Under60c25.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over42c24.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.439859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723258.6%136 W · 96 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8857772.3%417 W · 160 L-1.8wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.