TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming1c2,010$20 inLost-$20.137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed EDward Gaming12c948.39$114 inLost-$113.811,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked EDward Gaming13c618.82$80 inLost-$80.4520546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed EDward Gaming15c466.67$70 inLost-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed EDward Gaming13c400.5$52 inLost-$52.071,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked EDward Gaming8c399.99$33 inLost-$33.232,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed EDward Gaming11c396.58$44 inLost-$43.626230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed EDward Gaming17c310.98$54 inLost-$5410847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed EDward Gaming17c299.94$51 inLost-$50.792339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed EDward Gaming14c272.18$38 inLost-$38.1120631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked EDward Gaming15c243.07$36 inLost-$36.4644046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked EDward Gaming18c240$43 inLost-$4375630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed EDward Gaming15c200$30 inLost-$30.274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe42…30fbbacked EDward Gaming16c190.47$30 inLost-$302343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked EDward Gaming14c159.3$22 inLost-$22.34231%13 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked EDward Gaming24c126.07$30 inLost-$3047434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed EDward Gaming14c105.5$15 inLost-$14.771,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked EDward Gaming14c95.9$13 inLost-$13.4322142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Bilibili Gaming73c19.63$14 inWon+$5.312458.1%72 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.