Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f827ee3d1cc3be800f6c85a38acf0b33c7adce9a3639bd0aefc139435f9c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 14,320$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 11,154$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.36 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked No | 49c | 9,011$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed Yes | 51c | 9,011$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 6,669$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 23c | 2,403$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 33c | 2,280$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.53 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 2,247$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed No | 25c | 2,154$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 27c | 1,734$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.14 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 1,575$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,393$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,299$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.79 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 22c | 1,234$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 1,229$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 66c | 1,199$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 1,092$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.07 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,002$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 2c | 921.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 29c | 864$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 575 | 41.7%240 W · 335 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 68c | 783.75$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 68c | 783.75$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.67 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 4c | 772.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 67c | 749.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 67c | 729$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 41c | 683.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 73c | 568.87$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 27c | 538.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed No | 24c | 537.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 58c | 529.2$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 34c | 515.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 67c | 510.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Yes | 66c | 456.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 73c | 453$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 426.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed No | 44c | 376.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 368.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 66c | 340.79$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 336.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 66c | 332.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 34c | 324.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 8c | 306.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 67c | 296.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 28c | 282.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 37c | 269$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 251.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 23c | 240$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…921cbacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 66c | 224.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 66c | 216.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed No | 5c | 212.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 200.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 72c | 199.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 53c | 189.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 26c | 185.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed No | 33c | 174.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 34c | 170.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Yes | 64c | 156.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 65c | 153.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 66c | 152.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed Yes | 66c | 151.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 148$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 43c | 143.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 13c | 132.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 127.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 66c | 123.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 35c | 122.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Yes | 57c | 115.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 40c | 113.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed No | 11c | 105.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 68c | 100.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed No | 35c | 99.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 34c | 90.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 29c | 89.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 59c | 89.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 36c | 88.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…70e1backed Yes | 65c | 87.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Yes | 56c | 83.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 81.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122e…5258backed Yes | 65c | 77.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…a9c2backed Yes | 66c | 76.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.