Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3059fec470237ce17f85e57a8b954e69f5ddcbae11c7e086e11596ce60928051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 4c | 12,214$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 2c | 5,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 11c | 3,700$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Yes | 5c | 2,876$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 13c | 2,656$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 1,327$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,302$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 11c | 893.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 10c | 722.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 11c | 719.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 15c | 466$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 12c | 401.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6cdbbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 5c | 325.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 323.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 11c | 299.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 14c | 216.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcade…1ff6backed Yes | 11c | 183.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 163$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 14c | 138.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…94c0backed Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 13c | 123.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…56fcbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 14c | 107.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…06a6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 13c | 99.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…be08backed Yes | 12c | 87.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?No won
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.